By Bob Bonett
Alright, I’m done writing about the Jets-at least for now. My strike is extended from picking against them each week to not writing about them at all until Kellen Clemens is slotted into the starting quarterback role.
There were a few other things I learned this past Sunday, too, though.
For example, New Orleans is back on track. For now, you can assume oddsmakers are still low on the Saints since they only have one win. That means generous lines that you should jump on each week.
Adrian Peterson is for real, as I assumed he would be. The Vikings got an absolute steal, and if they could trade for a real quarterback, they will win 11-plus wins next year.
And, of course, San Diego is back. Tomlinson’s numbers will be absolutely unconscious for the rest of the year, and they will run away with one of the weakest divisions in football. By the way, if any team can beat the Patriots, it is the Chargers.
Then, there are the three rules I will be abiding by indefinitely.
The first is that I will pick the Dolphins every week until they win a game. I literally have no rationale for this decision; I just think Ronnie Brown and the ‘Fins will find some way to avoid going 0-16. So, in essence, I’m just playing the odds.
The second is that I will never pick against Tom Brady and the Patriots again. Although Sunday’s game was closer than the score suggested, they are ridiculous, and will not lose until 2009 at the earliest.
And finally, as I mentioned above, I won’t pick the Jets until No. 11 replaces No. 10 at quarterback. Sorry, Chad, but we need to find out if Clemens is for real, because if he isn’t, I don’t want the Jets to pass up on an elite quarterback with their top-five pick this year.
By the way, I’ve got a guaranteed upset that is legitimate this week-as opposed to my Cowboys pick last week-so take notice.
Without further adieu, the money picks for Week 7.
BEST BET
Tampa Bay (+2.5) at Detroit: Jeff Garcia is going to have a field day with the Detroit defense, especially with the addition of one of the game’s all-time underrated running backs in Michael Bennett-in his only full season, he rushed for 1296 yards with over five yards per carry. The Lions are undisciplined and will come out sloppy after a bye week. Pick: Buccaneers
GAME OF THE WEEK
Indianapolis (-3) at Jacksonville: Ladies and gentleman, children of all ages, the league’s top offense against the league’s top defense. David Garrard is a stud, Maurice Jones Drew is finally off the schnide and the Jags’ ‘D’ is an absolute force to be reckoned with. Peyton, Harrison and Addai are nearly unstoppable, but this week will be Jacksonville’s. Pick: Jaguars
J-E-T-S JETS JETS JETS
New York Jets (+6) at Cincinnati: Carson Palmer and Rudi Johnson should have a field day with Gang Green’s defense. If Pennington can’t put up some numbers against these guys and Eric Mangini doesn’t yank him, people will seriously start questioning his coaching tactics. Pick: Bengals
THE REST
Arizona (+8.5) at Washington: The Cardinals, contenders a few short weeks ago, are now in a more dire situation than any team in the league with Leinart and Warner each injured. Washington will win easy, confirming the fact that the NFC East is the NFL’s strongest division. Pick: Redskins
Atlanta (+8.5) at New Orleans: If New Orleans was 4-1 instead of 1-4, they would be giving Atlanta upwards of 15 points. They’re going to start playing like the NFC contenders they were last year, and will win this by upwards of three touchdowns. Pick: Saints
Baltimore (-3) at Buffalo: The Ravens’ defense proved they are even better than I thought by allowing only three points. Yes, it was against the Rams, but the Ravens’ offense is so putrid that holding the opposition to three points is a pretty important . They’ll win this one 17-6. Pick: Ravens
Minnesota (+9.5) at Dallas: If the Vikings had any passing game, they would actually win this game. I think Tony Romo and company will beat Minnesota, but Adrian Peterson will make sure it is by less than nine. Pick: Vikings
New England (-16.5) at Miami: Oh, great, already a game that forces me to contradict my own rules. Sorry Cleo Lemon and the Dolphins; 0-7 is literally inevitable against the Pats. Pick: Patriots
San Francisco (+9) at New York Giants: Whether it be the Cowboys, Redskins, Eagles or Giants, there is not even a hint of a weak link in the NFC East. The Big Blue defense will put a hurting on the Niners. Pick: Giants
Tennessee (-1.5) at Houston: Vince Young will not be as mobile as he has the potential to be against the Texans, and that could be a problem. Matt Schaub has a new favorite target in Kevin Walter, and he’ll use him nicely in this victory for the Texans. Pick: Texans
Kansas City (+2.5) at Oakland: Larry Johnson and Damon Huard looked real good last week. They aren’t for real by any stretch of the imagination, but the Chiefs should make easy work of Oakland and, lucky for us, KC is actually getting points. Pick: Chiefs
Chicago (+5) at Philadelphia: The Eagles are legitimate and will make some sort of playoff push. However, Chicago will at least keep this close with the playoff door slowly closing. Pick: Bears
St. Louis (+8.5) at Seattle: Put any other team in the NFL against the Seahawks this week and I pick against them. You never, ever pick the Worst Show on Turf, though. Pick: Seahawks
Pittsburgh (-3.5) at Denver: The Broncos will win the award of under-performers of the year while the Steelers are gunning for the Pats. Pick: Steelers